My apologies for the lack of substance to this prediction/preview - been a busy guy as of late.
Iowa gets Michigan State tonight up in East Lansing. Last time up, Lickliter's squad lost by low teens (a measurable improvement over the 25+ Alford era blowouts).
Everything points to this game as a blowout for Michigan State. They are a better team, with better athletes, in a better venue. Not to mention, MSU has Izzo, one of the best coaches in the nation without a doubt.
It was a coming out party for Jake Kelly at the point last game vs. Michigan. He set career highs for points, assists, and rebounds - just missing a double double and a triple double. He looked very slick at the PG position and completely took over the game at one point. What's more is that 4 out of the 5 starters last game played 45 minutes. I'd be hard pressed to think of a time I have ever seen that happen. Bawinkel got off his snide last time out too, so that was great to see.
Tate is supposed to be able to go tonight, but I am not sure how effective he can be against this uber quick MSU team.
It's going to be a tough game no matter how you look at it. If Jake can carry the team again, and if Iowa can rebound anywhere near what they did last time out, they can keep it within double-digits. However, I see this one getting out of hand towards the end of the first half.
Two of Iowa last three wins have been in OT. I don't think this one goes to bonus minutes.
KenPom gives Iowa an 8% chance to win this game. (Lowest chance of the season). Plus, Iowa is 1-9 on the road. Not looking good.
IOWA - 57
MSU - 74