Sunday, February 22, 2009

MEN'S BB: Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Michigan Wolverines

GAME INFO: Sun., Feb. 22nd, 2009 - 4:00 PM CST - Carver-Hawkeye Arena; Iowa City, IA
IOWA: 13-13 (3-10, 10th); POM: 89; RPI: 109 / MICHIGAN: 17-10 (7-7, 7th); POM: 64; RPI: 50

RADIO: Links
LINE - Iowa is a 1 point favorite at home.


Tate and Peterson are doubtful for this one. Jermain Davis also sustained a leg injury this week in practice and may be limited, as well.

Kelly did a decent job taking over for JPete last time out, but Iowa is going to need more than him to take down the Wolverines. Iowa will need to attack Beilein's 1-3-1 zone defense, but without ballhandlers (read: Peterson, Tucker, and maybe even Davis), Iowa will be up against it today.

To say Iowa's offense has been anemic as of late is an understatement. Iowa has gone from being the 4th best 3pt shooting team in the nation, to now outside the Top 50. In the last 10 games alone, Iowa has yet to score over 60 points in 40 minutes of regulation basketball. The only time they have exceeded that limit was an overtime win against Wisconsin (63 pts scored).

Michigan is 2-6 on the road, and Iowa is 11-3 at home (losses all to Top 25 teams). Iowa has 3 wins in 2009, all at home; they've won 1 game in the last 7 games and won 2 games in the last 11. Iowa is 1-9 vs. the Top 50 RPI, UM sneaks into the Top 50 today.

If Tate, Peterson, or Davis play, Iowa will stick with UM, but I just don't like the matchup that the Wolverines bring. Iowa is 1-3 under Lickliter against UM.

Oh, by the way, Matt Gatens is REALLY important to this team in case you were living in a cave:

Anything else stick out at you from the above chart? Such as our leading defensive rebounder is... Jermain Davis? Oh, and Andrew Brommer has more fouls than points.

KenPom gives Iowa a 56% chance to win this game.

TODAY'S PROJECTED HAWKEYE KILLER: Manny Harris. It could be raining treys in Carver for Manny today. I assume Kelly will have the task of guarding him today, and if Jake is burdened with the load of the offense in this one, he might not have enough to stop Harris.

Iowa - 59
Michigan - 61

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