MEN'S BB: A Look at the 2008 NCAA Tournament and My Bubble Team Analysis (Final Prediction)

STORMINSPANK'S BRACKETOLOGY

Big Movers this Update -
UP: Arkansas, St. Joe's, Virginia Tech, Temple
DOWN: Ohio State, UMASS

Changes: Ohio State and UMASS are OUT. St. Joe's is IN. Temple winning the A-10 snags another at-large bid.

Updated Look at Bubble Teams for 2008 and Projecting the NCAA Tourney Field

NOTE: IF ILLINOIS WINS THE BIG TEN CHAMPIONSHIP, OREGON IS OUT.

TEAMS THAT I THINK ARE LOCKS/AUTOBIDS (parenthesis contain total number of bids for the conference; the first number is the locks and the second number is the total bids the conference will get as of right now)

LOCKS

NUMBER ONE SEEDS: NORTH CAROLINA, MEMPHIS, UCLA, TENNESSEE

Am East (1/1) - UMBC
ACC (3/4) - UNC, Duke, Clemson
A. Sun (1/1) - BELMONT
A-10 (2/3) - TEMPLE, Xavier
Big East (7/8) - PITTSBURGH, Georgetown, Louisville, Notre Dame, UCONN, Marquette, West Virginia
Big Sky (1/1) - PORTLAND STATE
Big South (1/1) - WINTHROP
Big Ten (4/4) - Wisconsin, Purdue, Indiana, Michigan State
Big 12 (5/6) - Kansas, Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas State, Baylor
Big West (1/1) - CAL STATE FULLERTON
CAA (1/1) - GEORGE MASON
CUSA (1/1) - MEMPHIS
Horizon (1/1) - BUTLER
Ivy (1/1) - CORNELL
MAAC (1/1) - SIENNA
MAC (1/1) - KENT STATE
MEAC (1/1) - COPPIN STATE
MVC (1/2) - DRAKE
MWC (2/2) - UNLV, BYU
NEC (1/1) - MOUNT SAINT MARY'S
OVC (1/1) - AUSTIN PEAY
Patriot (1/1) - AMERICAN
Pac-10 (4/6) - UCLA, Washington St., Stanford, USC
SEC (3/5) - Tennessee, Vanderbilt, Mississippi State
Southern (1/1) - DAVIDSON
Southland (1/1) - UT ARLINGTON
Summit (1/1) - ORAL ROBERTS
SWAC (1/1) - MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE
Sun Belt (1/2) - WESTERN KENTUCKY
WCC (2/3) - SAN DIEGO, Gonzaga
WAC (1/1) - BOISE STATE

CAP/BOLD TEAMS WON THEIR CONFERENCE TOURNAMENT

BUBBLE TEAMS

So here's who I have on the Bubble...

11 spots are up for grabs

Those teams IN are noted with an asterisk (*).

BUBBLE TEAMS BY CONFERENCE:

ACC:
Miami *
Maryland
Virginia Tech
Florida State

A10:
UMass
Dayton
St. Joe's *
Rhode Island

BIG EAST:
Syracuse
Villanova *

BIG TEN:
Ohio State

BIG XII:
Texas A&M *

CAA:
VCU

C-USA:
UAB

HORIZON:
Cleveland State

MVC:
Illinois State *
Creighton
S. Illinois

MWC:
New Mexico

PAC-10:
Arizona *
Arizona State
Oregon *

SEC:
Arkansas*
Kentucky *
Mississippi
Florida

SUN BELT:
South Alabama *

WCC:
St. Mary's *

RANKING OF BUBBLE TEAMS:

Ranking of the Bubble Teams (As of 3/16/2008)
New Rank	Prev. Rank	+/-	Team	Overall	Conf	RPI	SOS	L10	Top 50 Record	Prev RPI	RPI Diiff
1	3	0	Arkansas*	22-10	9-7	26	20	5-5	6-4	41	-15
2	1	0	Miami *	21-1	8-8	34	41	7-3	3-3	26	8
3	4	0	Texas A&M *	23-10	8-8	41	51	4-6	5-7	44	-3
4	2	0	Kentucky *	18-12	12-4	57	22	7-3	4-6	47	10
5	6	1	Illinois State *	23-9	13-5	33	73	8-2	2-5	33	0
6	6	0	St. Mary's *	24-6	12-2	36	136	7-3	2-3	36	0
7	7	0	South Alabama *	24-6	16-2	37	127	8-2	3-2	34	3
8	16	8	St. Joe's *	21-12	9-7	45	53	5-5	5-6	50	-5
9	10	1	Villanova *	20-12	9-9	51	48	6-4	4-7	51	0
10	11	1	Arizona *	18-14	8-10	38	2	4-6	5-8	39	-1
11	12	0	Oregon *	18-13	9-9	58	37	5-5	4-9	56	2
12	25	12	Virginia Tech	19-13	9-7	53	38	6-4	1-7	59	-6
13	5	-6	Ohio State	19-13	10-8	49	17	4-6	2-10	46	3
14	9	-5	UMass	21-10	10-6	43	71	7-3	1-5	43	0
15	13	-2	Dayton	21-10	8-8	32	34	5-5	4-4	32	0
16	14	-2	Syracuse	19-13	9-9	55	9	4-6	3-8	52	3
17	15	-2	Arizona State	19-12	9-9	83	77	5-5	5-7	81	2
18	17	-1	Florida State	19-14	7-9	59	15	6-4	3-6	62	-3
19	19	0	Creighton	20-10	10-8	47	66	6-4	1-6	49	-2
20	22	2	Mississippi	21-10	7-9	46	64	5-5	5-3	48	-2
21	21	0	VCU	24-7	15-3	54	160	8-2	0-2	55	-1
22	20	-2	S. Illinois	17-14	11-7	62	16	6-4	5-7	61	1
23	23	0	UAB	22-10	12-4	56	95	7-3	1-2	54	2
24	24	0	Florida	21-11	8-8	72	87	3-7	2-7	72	0
25	26	1	New Mexico	24-8	11-5	58	159	8-2	1-4	58	0
26	27	1	Cleveland State	19-12	12-6	64	88	7-3	1-4	64	0